| 02 | M-W---- | 4:00P-5:20P | Eads / 215 | Rickard | No final | 15 | 14 | 0 |
Desc: | Fictions of Chance: Probability before Mathematics. Recent history has been shaped by events that may be described, with some understatement, as improbable. As often as not forecasters, pundits, and talking heads have been led astray by the tools of popular statistics. Probability, however, hasn't always been a subject for the sciences. Our point of departure will be Aristotle's Poetics, which introduced the idea that fiction helps people understand such contingencies as love, death, war, or exile. We will then range across the history of literature to see how fiction came to represent and make sense of the merely coincidental. Of particular interest will be those contingencies that outstrip our capacity for scientific explanation and so demand other forms of thought, be they ethical, political, or imaginative. Our topics will be probability and improbability, luck and unluckiness, normality and abnormality, error and correction, freedom and necessity, security and risk, laws and their exceptions. This course is for first-year non-transfer students only. |
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